Giants at Cubs
Last play · Jorge Soler strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs100%
SF 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 2 – 2 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Cubs favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cody Bellinger singles on a ground ball to left fielder Michael Conforto. Michael Busch scores. Cody Bellinger to 2nd. (inning 8) — +29% Cubs
8Christopher Morel singles on a ground ball to shortstop Nick Ahmed. Ian Happ scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd. David Bote to 2nd.2–5
8Ian Happ singles on a ground ball to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Cody Bellinger scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd.2–4
8Cody Bellinger singles on a ground ball to left fielder Michael Conforto. Michael Busch scores. Cody Bellinger to 2nd.2–3
5Curt Casali doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Jorge Soler scores. Mike Yastrzemski scores.2–2
2Dansby Swanson homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Ian Happ scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














