Cardinals at Cubs
Last play · Patrick Wisdom lines out to left fielder Brendan Donovan.
Win probability
Cubs0%
STL 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 2 – 0 CHC
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Cubs favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pedro Pagés homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Brandon Crawford scores. (inning 2) — -25% Cardinals
7Michael Busch singles on a line drive to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Ian Happ scores.2–1
2Pedro Pagés homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Brandon Crawford scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














