Giants at Cubs
Last play · Patrick Bailey grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Cody Bellinger.
Win probability
Cubs100%
SF 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 0 – 3 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Cubs favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Soler hits a grand slam (9) to left field. Patrick Bailey scores. Matt Chapman scores. Austin Slater scores. (inning 8) — -20% Giants
8Jorge Soler hits a grand slam (9) to left field. Patrick Bailey scores. Matt Chapman scores. Austin Slater scores.5–6
7Michael Busch singles on a line drive to shortstop Brett Wisely, deflected by left fielder Austin Slater. Dansby Swanson to 3rd.1–6
7Dansby Swanson singles on a line drive to center fielder Heliot Ramos. Nico Hoerner scores. Cody Bellinger scores. Christopher Morel to 3rd.1–5
6Heliot Ramos grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop Dansby Swanson. Thairo Estrada scores. Brett Wisely out at 2nd. Heliot Ramos to 1st.1–3
4Pete Crow-Armstrong hits a sacrifice bunt. Fielding error by third baseman Matt Chapman. Michael Busch scores. Miguel Amaya to 3rd. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Matt Chapman.0–3
4Dansby Swanson homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.0–2
4Ian Happ homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














