Mets at Cubs
Last play · Patrick Wisdom called out on strikes.
Win probability
Cubs0%
NYM 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 4 – 0 CHC
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Cubs favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Francisco Lindor homers (13) on a line drive to left center field. Harrison Bader scores. (inning 3) — -26% Mets
8Mark Vientos homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.5–2
7Christopher Morel homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. Ian Happ scores.4–2
5J.D. Martinez grounds out softly to first baseman Michael Busch. Harrison Bader scores. Francisco Lindor to 3rd. Brandon Nimmo to 2nd.4–0
3Brandon Nimmo homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.3–0
3Francisco Lindor homers (13) on a line drive to left center field. Harrison Bader scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














