Phillies at Cubs
Last play · Dansby Swanson lines out sharply to right fielder Nick Castellanos.
Win probability
Cubs0%
PHI 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 5 – 1 CHC
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Cubs favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Garrett Stubbs doubles (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Nick Castellanos scores. Kody Clemens scores. (inning 2) — -25% Phillies
9Seiya Suzuki homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Michael Busch scores. Cody Bellinger scores.6–4
7Trea Turner singles on a line drive to right fielder Cody Bellinger. Bryson Stott scores.6–1
5Trea Turner homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Bryson Stott scores.5–1
3Cody Bellinger doubles (14) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Johan Rojas. Nico Hoerner scores.3–1
3Trea Turner homers (4) on a line drive to left center field.3–0
2Garrett Stubbs doubles (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Nick Castellanos scores. Kody Clemens scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














