Phillies at Cubs
Last play · Michael Busch strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs0%
PHI 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 2 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Cubs favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Bohm homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. Trea Turner scores. (inning 6) — -31% Phillies
8Whit Merrifield singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Alec Bohm scores.5–3
8Edmundo Sosa out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Trea Turner scores.4–3
7Cody Bellinger singles on a soft line drive to center fielder Johan Rojas. Michael Busch scores.3–3
6Alec Bohm homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. Trea Turner scores.3–2
4Pete Crow-Armstrong doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder Johan Rojas. Ian Happ scores.1–2
3Rafael Marchán homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
2Pete Crow-Armstrong doubles (3) on a soft line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Ian Happ scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














