Phillies at Cubs
Last play · David Dahl strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs100%
PHI 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 8 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Cubs favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ian Happ homers (12) on a line drive to left center field. Cody Bellinger scores. Seiya Suzuki scores. (inning 4) — +40% Cubs
8Cody Bellinger grounds into a force out, second baseman Bryson Stott to shortstop Trea Turner. Tomás Nido scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd. Patrick Wisdom out at 2nd. Cody Bellinger to 1st.2–10
7Christopher Morel singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Seiya Suzuki scores. Ian Happ out at home on the throw, left fielder Brandon Marsh to catcher Garrett Stubbs. Christopher Morel to 2nd.2–9
5Ian Happ homers (13) on a fly ball to right field. Cody Bellinger scores. Seiya Suzuki scores.2–8
4Nico Hoerner singles on a ground ball to center fielder Johan Rojas. David Bote scores.2–5
4Tomás Nido grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Kody Clemens. Dansby Swanson scores.2–4
4Ian Happ homers (12) on a line drive to left center field. Cody Bellinger scores. Seiya Suzuki scores.2–3
4Nick Castellanos homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
1Brandon Marsh singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cody Bellinger. Trea Turner scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














