Angels at Cubs
Last play · Zach Neto strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs100%
LAA 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 3 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Cubs favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nico Hoerner out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Mickey Moniak. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. (inning 3) — +12% Cubs
7Michael Busch homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Nico Hoerner scores.0–5
5Michael Busch grounds into a double play, second baseman Brandon Drury to shortstop Zach Neto to first baseman Nolan Schanuel. Miguel Amaya scores. Nico Hoerner out at 2nd. Michael Busch out at 1st.0–3
3Nico Hoerner out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Mickey Moniak. Miles Mastrobuoni scores.0–2
3Miguel Amaya singles on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. Dansby Swanson scores. Miguel Amaya out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Taylor Ward to shortstop Zach Neto to second baseman Brandon Drury. Miles Mastrobuoni to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














