Brewers at Cubs
Last play · Mike Tauchman flies out to right fielder Garrett Mitchell.
Win probability
Cubs0%
MIL 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 1 – 2 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Cubs favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · William Contreras doubles (25) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mike Tauchman. Blake Perkins scores. (inning 9) — -34% Brewers
9William Contreras doubles (25) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mike Tauchman. Blake Perkins scores.3–2
6Brice Turang singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Willy Adames scores. Jackson Chourio to 3rd. Jake Bauers to 2nd.2–2
3Seiya Suzuki homers (14) on a line drive to left center field.1–2
1Ian Happ singles on a ground ball to right fielder Garrett Mitchell. Seiya Suzuki scores.1–1
1Jackson Chourio singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Tauchman. Joey Ortiz scores. Rhys Hoskins to 3rd. Willy Adames to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














