Brewers at Cubs
Last play · William Contreras grounds out softly to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Cubs100%
MIL 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 0 – 2 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Cubs favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ian Happ homers (16) on a line drive to right center field. (inning 6) — +12% Cubs
8Willy Adames homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field.1–3
6Ian Happ homers (16) on a line drive to right center field.0–3
4Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.0–2
3Michael Busch singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Miguel Amaya scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














