Cardinals at Cubs
Last play · Mike Tauchman doubles (11) on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Dansby Swanson scores.
Win probability
Cubs100%
STL 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 1 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Cubs favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dansby Swanson doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Nico Hoerner scores. (inning 9) — +42% Cubs
9Mike Tauchman doubles (11) on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Dansby Swanson scores.4–5
9Dansby Swanson doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Nico Hoerner scores.4–4
9Cody Bellinger homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.4–3
7Nolan Arenado singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Paul Goldschmidt scores.4–2
7Masyn Winn homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Michael Siani scores.3–2
6Seiya Suzuki homers (16) on a fly ball to center field.1–2
2Dansby Swanson singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Siani. Cody Bellinger scores. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.1–1
1Paul Goldschmidt homers (17) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
