Cardinals at Cubs
Last play · Willson Contreras grounds out, first baseman Michael Busch to pitcher Héctor Neris.
Win probability
Cubs100%
STL 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 5 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Cubs favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Bethancourt homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Dansby Swanson scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. (inning 2) — +21% Cubs
8Isaac Paredes grounds out, third baseman Nolan Arenado to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.3–6
8Brendan Donovan walks. Nolan Arenado scores. Lars Nootbaar to 3rd. Tommy Pham to 2nd.3–5
8Tommy Pham walks. Alec Burleson scores. Nolan Arenado to 3rd. Lars Nootbaar to 2nd.2–5
3Paul Goldschmidt walks. Michael Siani scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd. Willson Contreras to 2nd.1–5
2Michael Busch homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.0–5
2Christian Bethancourt homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Dansby Swanson scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.0–4
2Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Nico Hoerner scores. Dansby Swanson to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
