Blue Jays at Cubs
Last play · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs100%
TOR 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 3 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Cubs favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Busch triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Miguel Amaya scores. (inning 5) — +17% Cubs
9Addison Barger homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.2–3
7Daulton Varsho singles on a bunt ground ball to pitcher Drew Smyly. Steward Berroa scores. George Springer to 2nd.1–3
5Michael Busch triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Miguel Amaya scores.0–3
1Ian Happ homers (22) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
