Twins at Cubs
Last play · Jose Miranda grounds out, third baseman Isaac Paredes to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Cubs100%
MIN 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 4 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Cubs favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes homers (17) on a fly ball to left field. Seiya Suzuki scores. Cody Bellinger scores. (inning 1) — +24% Cubs
8Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a line drive to left fielder Manuel Margot. Nico Hoerner scores. Dansby Swanson to 2nd.3–7
8Christian Vázquez homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.3–6
6Pete Crow-Armstrong grounds out, second baseman Brooks Lee to first baseman Carlos Santana.2–6
6Dansby Swanson triples (2) on a fly ball to right fielder Max Kepler. Nico Hoerner scores.2–5
4Royce Lewis homers (14) on a line drive to left center field. Carlos Santana scores.2–4
3Isaac Paredes singles on a soft line drive to right fielder Max Kepler. Michael Busch scores. Isaac Paredes out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Max Kepler to catcher Christian Vázquez to shortstop Willi Castro.0–4
1Isaac Paredes homers (17) on a fly ball to left field. Seiya Suzuki scores. Cody Bellinger scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
