Tigers at Cubs
Last play · Javier Báez strikes out swinging, catcher Miguel Amaya to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Cubs100%
DET 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 2 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 36.8% · hold 8.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Cubs favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cody Bellinger doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Vierling. Ian Happ scores. Michael Busch scores. Cody Bellinger out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Matt Vierling to first baseman Spencer Torkelson to third baseman Jace Jung. (inning 5) — +30% Cubs
6Dansby Swanson homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.1–3
5Cody Bellinger doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Vierling. Ian Happ scores. Michael Busch scores. Cody Bellinger out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Matt Vierling to first baseman Spencer Torkelson to third baseman Jace Jung.1–2
2Dillon Dingler singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Spencer Torkelson scores. Jace Jung to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
