Blue Jays at Cubs
Last play · Dansby Swanson grounds out, third baseman Addison Barger to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Win probability
Cubs0%
TOR 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 0 CHC
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
Cubs favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Loperfido homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 2) — -15% Blue Jays
2Joey Loperfido homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
