Tigers at Cubs
Last play · David Bote pops out to first baseman Spencer Torkelson in foul territory.
Win probability
Cubs0%
DET 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 4 – 2 CHC
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Cubs favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trey Sweeney homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Jace Jung scores. (inning 2) — -25% Tigers
9Kerry Carpenter homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. Parker Meadows scores. Riley Greene scores.8–2
9Riley Greene singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Zach McKinstry scores. Parker Meadows to 3rd.5–2
5Christian Bethancourt homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Dansby Swanson scores.4–2
2Riley Greene homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field. Parker Meadows scores.4–0
2Trey Sweeney homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Jace Jung scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
