Mariners at White Sox
Last play · Andrew Vaughn grounds out, shortstop Dylan Moore to first baseman Tyler Locklear.
Win probability
White Sox0%
SEA 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 5 – 1 CWS
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
White Sox favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Polanco homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 4) — -16% Mariners
8Luis Robert Jr. strikes out swinging.6–3
8Jorge Polanco singles on a line drive to right fielder Tommy Pham. Randy Arozarena scores. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.6–2
6Chuckie Robinson reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Dylan Moore. Brooks Baldwin scores.5–2
5Jorge Polanco homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.5–1
5Cal Raleigh homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field.4–1
4Victor Robles singles on a line drive to left fielder Andrew Benintendi. Josh Rojas scores. Dylan Moore to 3rd.3–1
4Dylan Moore singles on a line drive to right fielder Tommy Pham. Mitch Haniger scores. Josh Rojas to 2nd.2–1
4Jorge Polanco homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














