Brewers at Reds
Last play · Ty France flies out to right fielder Sal Frelick.
Win probability
Reds0%
MIL 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 4 – 4 CIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Reds favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sal Frelick singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Willy Adames scores. Garrett Mitchell scores. (inning 4) — -26% Brewers
10Sal Frelick grounds into a double play, second baseman Jonathan India to shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Spencer Steer. Eric Haase scores. Brice Turang out at 2nd. Sal Frelick out at 1st.5–4
5Jonathan India homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.4–4
4Sal Frelick singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Willy Adames scores. Garrett Mitchell scores.4–3
4William Contreras homers (19) on a fly ball to center field.2–3
2Elly De La Cruz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Sal Frelick. Will Benson scores. Jonathan India to 3rd.1–3
2Santiago Espinal homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
2Willy Adames homers (25) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
1TJ Friedl grounds into a force out, first baseman Rhys Hoskins to shortstop Willy Adames. Elly De La Cruz scores. Spencer Steer out at 2nd. TJ Friedl to 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
