Orioles at Reds
Last play · Jeimer Candelario flies out to left fielder Colton Cowser.
Win probability
Reds0%
BAL 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 2 – 0 CIN
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Reds favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Mateo homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 4) — -14% Orioles
9Spencer Steer singles on a line drive to right fielder Anthony Santander. Jake Fraley scores. Bubba Thompson to 3rd.2–1
5Adley Rutschman homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
4Jorge Mateo homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








