D-backs at Reds
Last play · Christian Encarnacion-Strand strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds0%
AZ 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 2 – 0 CIN
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Reds favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Corbin Carroll homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Tucker Barnhart scores. Kevin Newman scores. (inning 7) — -16% D-backs
9Tyler Stephenson homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.6–2
7Jonathan India homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.6–1
7Ketel Marte homers (7) on a line drive to center field.6–0
7Corbin Carroll homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Tucker Barnhart scores. Kevin Newman scores.5–0
5Corbin Carroll singles on a ground ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Tucker Barnhart scores. Kevin Newman to 3rd.2–0
3Corbin Carroll grounds into a force out, pitcher Frankie Montas to shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Jake McCarthy scores. Tucker Barnhart out at 2nd. Corbin Carroll to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








