D-backs at Reds
Last play · Jonathan India flies out to right fielder Jake McCarthy.
Win probability
Reds0%
AZ 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 2 – 2 CIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Reds favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeimer Candelario doubles (7) on a fly ball to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Santiago Espinal scores. (inning 4) — +16% Reds
9TJ Friedl singles on a line drive to right fielder Jake McCarthy. Jake Fraley scores. Jeimer Candelario to 3rd.4–3
8Eugenio Suárez homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.4–2
6Gabriel Moreno singles on a ground ball to left fielder Spencer Steer. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. Eugenio Suárez to 2nd.3–2
4Jeimer Candelario doubles (7) on a fly ball to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Santiago Espinal scores.2–2
3Christian Walker walks. Pavin Smith scores. Corbin Carroll to 3rd. Ketel Marte to 2nd.2–1
3Pavin Smith doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Stuart Fairchild. Gabriel Moreno scores.1–1
2Stuart Fairchild singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Tyler Stephenson scores. Stuart Fairchild out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to second baseman Ketel Marte.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








