Padres at Reds
Last play · Jake Cronenworth grounds into a double play, second baseman Jonathan India to shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Jeimer Candelario. Jurickson Profar out at 2nd. Jake Cronenworth out at 1st.
Win probability
Reds100%
SD 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 0 – 2 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Reds favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jacob Hurtubise out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Jonathan India scores. (inning 2) — +10% Reds
2Elly De La Cruz doubles (9) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Will Benson scores.0–2
2Jacob Hurtubise out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Jonathan India scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
