Padres at Reds
Last play · Spencer Steer pops out softly to shortstop Ha-Seong Kim.
Win probability
Reds0%
SD 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 4 – 2 CIN
Padres led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Reds favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Martini homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Spencer Steer scores. (inning 6) — +31% Reds
10Jake Cronenworth out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Stuart Fairchild. Luis Arraez scores.6–4
10Fernando Tatis Jr. doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Will Benson. Luis Campusano scores. Luis Arraez to 3rd.5–4
6Nick Martini homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Spencer Steer scores.4–4
2Jacob Hurtubise singles on a line drive to right fielder David Peralta. Nick Martini scores. Jonathan India to 3rd. Luke Maile to 2nd.4–2
2Luis Arraez singles on a fly ball to right fielder Nick Martini. Jackson Merrill scores. Kyle Higashioka to 2nd.4–1
2Kyle Higashioka grounds into a force out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to second baseman Jonathan India. David Peralta scores. Jackson Merrill to 3rd. Ha-Seong Kim out at 2nd. Kyle Higashioka to 1st.3–1
1Jeimer Candelario triples (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder David Peralta. Jacob Hurtubise scores.2–1
1Manny Machado doubles (10) on a fly ball to right fielder Nick Martini. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jurickson Profar scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
