Padres at Reds
Last play · Nick Martini strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds0%
SD 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 5 – 1 CIN
Padres led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Reds favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · David Peralta reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Jonathan India. Jurickson Profar scores. Manny Machado to 3rd. (inning 4) — -14% Padres
6Tyler Stephenson doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Jacob Hurtubise scores. Jeimer Candelario scores.7–3
6Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Martini. Tyler Wade scores. Luis Arraez to 2nd.7–1
6Tyler Wade singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Martini, deflected by first baseman Spencer Steer. José Azocar scores.6–1
5Jake Cronenworth singles on a line drive to center fielder Will Benson. Jurickson Profar scores.5–1
5Jurickson Profar doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Jacob Hurtubise. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.4–1
5Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Martini. Luis Campusano scores. Tyler Wade out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Nick Martini to shortstop Elly De La Cruz.3–1
4David Peralta reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Jonathan India. Jurickson Profar scores. Manny Machado to 3rd.2–1
1Jeimer Candelario homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
