Cardinals at Reds
Last play · Mike Ford called out on strikes.
Win probability
Reds0%
STL 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 3 – 0 CIN
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Reds favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Arenado homers (4) on a line drive to left field. Iván Herrera scores. (inning 4) — -21% Cardinals
9Iván Herrera singles on a line drive to left fielder Jacob Hurtubise. Paul Goldschmidt scores.7–1
7Masyn Winn grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Spencer Steer. Michael Siani scores.6–1
7Nolan Gorman homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Dylan Carlson scores.5–1
6Will Benson homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.3–1
4Nolan Arenado homers (4) on a line drive to left field. Iván Herrera scores.3–0
3Masyn Winn doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Will Benson. Brendan Donovan scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
