Cubs at Reds
Last play · Michael Busch strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds100%
CHC 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 2 – 3 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Reds favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Elly De La Cruz homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Will Benson scores. TJ Friedl scores. (inning 3) — +35% Reds
7Will Benson singles on a line drive to right fielder Mike Tauchman. Tyler Stephenson scores. Jacob Hurtubise scores. Jonathan India to 3rd.4–8
7Jonathan India walks. Blake Dunn scores. Tyler Stephenson to 3rd. Jacob Hurtubise to 2nd.4–6
6TJ Friedl doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mike Tauchman. Tyler Stephenson scores. Jonathan India to 3rd.4–5
6Jonathan India singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Jake Fraley scores. Tyler Stephenson to 3rd.4–4
6Christopher Morel homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. Cody Bellinger scores.4–3
3Elly De La Cruz homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Will Benson scores. TJ Friedl scores.2–3
3Seiya Suzuki homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Miguel Amaya scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














