Cubs at Reds
Last play · Santiago Espinal grounds out, third baseman Christopher Morel to first baseman Cody Bellinger.
Win probability
Reds0%
CHC 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 4 – 1 CIN
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Reds favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ian Happ doubles (14) on a line drive to right fielder Stuart Fairchild. Mike Tauchman scores. Seiya Suzuki scores. Christopher Morel scores. (inning 1) — -28% Cubs
7Santiago Espinal singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Spencer Steer scores. Santiago Espinal out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Ian Happ to second baseman David Bote. Jonathan India to 3rd.4–2
3Luke Maile homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.4–1
2Mike Tauchman singles on a line drive to right fielder Stuart Fairchild. Miguel Amaya scores.4–0
1Ian Happ doubles (14) on a line drive to right fielder Stuart Fairchild. Mike Tauchman scores. Seiya Suzuki scores. Christopher Morel scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














