Cubs at Reds
Last play · Patrick Wisdom strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Reds100%
CHC 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 0 – 3 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Reds favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler Stephenson doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Elly De La Cruz scores. Spencer Steer scores. (inning 4) — +22% Reds
9Miguel Amaya doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Michael Busch scores.2–3
6Dansby Swanson homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.1–3
5Stuart Fairchild singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cody Bellinger. Blake Dunn scores.0–3
4Tyler Stephenson doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Elly De La Cruz scores. Spencer Steer scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














