Cubs at Reds
Last play · Mike Tauchman grounds out to first baseman Spencer Steer.
Win probability
Reds100%
CHC 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 4 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Reds favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · TJ Friedl homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Jonathan India scores. (inning 3) — +23% Reds
8Pete Crow-Armstrong grounds out, second baseman Jonathan India to first baseman Spencer Steer. David Bote scores. Michael Busch to 3rd.3–4
6Yan Gomes doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Will Benson. David Bote scores.2–4
5TJ Friedl grounds out to first baseman Michael Busch. Jonathan India scores.1–4
3TJ Friedl homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Jonathan India scores.1–3
1Jeimer Candelario homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
1Dansby Swanson doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Will Benson. Cody Bellinger scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














