Guardians at Reds
Last play · TJ Friedl lines out to shortstop Brayan Rocchio.
Win probability
Reds0%
CLE 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 3 – 1 CIN
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Reds favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Steven Kwan doubles (8) on a ground ball to left fielder Will Benson. Brayan Rocchio scores. Bo Naylor scores. (inning 3) — -24% Guardians
9Jonathan India singles on a fly ball to center fielder Tyler Freeman. Stuart Fairchild scores.5–3
9Josh Naylor grounds into a force out, first baseman Spencer Steer to shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Bo Naylor scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd. José Ramírez out at 2nd. Josh Naylor to 1st.5–2
8Josh Naylor homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field.4–2
6Spencer Steer singles on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Elly De La Cruz scores.3–2
3Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. Steven Kwan scores. Tyler Freeman to 3rd.3–1
3Steven Kwan doubles (8) on a ground ball to left fielder Will Benson. Brayan Rocchio scores. Bo Naylor scores.2–1
1Jeimer Candelario doubles (15) on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. TJ Friedl scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














