Guardians at Reds
Last play · José Ramírez pops out to second baseman Jonathan India.
Win probability
Reds100%
CLE 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 1 CIN
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Reds favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeimer Candelario homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Will Benson scores. TJ Friedl scores. (inning 6) — +46% Reds
6Jeimer Candelario homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Will Benson scores. TJ Friedl scores.2–4
5Andrés Giménez grounds out, second baseman Jonathan India to first baseman Spencer Steer. José Ramírez scores. Josh Naylor to 2nd.2–1
3David Fry walks. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez to 3rd. Josh Naylor to 2nd.1–1
1Jeimer Candelario homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














