Red Sox at Reds
Last play · Elly De La Cruz flies out to left fielder Tyler O'Neill.
Win probability
Reds0%
BOS 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 3 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Reds favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Stuart Fairchild in foul territory. Jarren Duran scores. Rob Refsnyder to 2nd. (inning 8) — -26% Red Sox
8Rafael Devers out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Stuart Fairchild in foul territory. Jarren Duran scores. Rob Refsnyder to 2nd.4–3
8Rob Refsnyder singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd.3–3
6Connor Wong doubles (7) on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Wilyer Abreu scores.2–3
5Dominic Smith homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
3Elly De La Cruz homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.0–3
1Spencer Steer homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Jeimer Candelario scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














