Red Sox at Reds
Last play · Jeimer Candelario flies out to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.
Win probability
Reds0%
BOS 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 4 – 1 CIN
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -155
Reds favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Connor Wong homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Rafael Devers scores. (inning 4) — -26% Red Sox
6Stuart Fairchild singles on a line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Jonathan India scores. Santiago Espinal to 3rd.7–4
6Santiago Espinal singles on a line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Tyler Stephenson scores. Jonathan India to 3rd.7–3
6Tyler Stephenson doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Spencer Steer scores.7–2
6Rob Refsnyder homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Jarren Duran scores.7–1
6Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to left fielder Spencer Steer. David Hamilton scores.5–1
4Jeimer Candelario singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Elly De La Cruz scores.4–1
4Jarren Duran doubles (22) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Stuart Fairchild. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.4–0
4Ceddanne Rafaela grounds into a force out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to second baseman Jonathan India. Romy Gonzalez scores. Dominic Smith out at 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Jonathan India.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














