Pirates at Reds
Last play · Levi Jordan strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds0%
PIT 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 8 – 3 CIN
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Reds favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryan Reynolds homers (13) on a fly ball to right field. Andrew McCutchen scores. (inning 1) — -22% Pirates
9Jeimer Candelario grounds into a double play, shortstop Oneil Cruz to second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Rowdy Tellez. Jonathan India scores. Elly De La Cruz out at 2nd. Jeimer Candelario out at 1st.9–5
6Elly De La Cruz reaches on a fielding error by center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Jonathan India scores. Elly De La Cruz to 3rd.9–4
6Rowdy Tellez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Will Benson. Michael A. Taylor scores. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd.9–3
5Tyler Stephenson triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Edward Olivares. Spencer Steer scores.8–3
5Spencer Steer doubles (18) on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Elly De La Cruz scores.8–2
5Jeimer Candelario grounds out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Rowdy Tellez. Jonathan India scores. Elly De La Cruz to 3rd.8–1
5Jared Triolo homers (4) on a line drive to left field. Nick Gonzales scores.8–0
3Yasmani Grandal out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Stuart Fairchild. Rowdy Tellez scores. Edward Olivares to 3rd.6–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














