Pirates at Reds
Last play · Tyler Stephenson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds0%
PIT 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 4 – 1 CIN
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Reds favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew McCutchen homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Jason Delay scores. (inning 5) — -20% Pirates
6Jason Delay doubles (3) on a ground ball to left fielder Levi Jordan. Nick Gonzales scores. Connor Joe scores.6–1
5Andrew McCutchen homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Jason Delay scores.4–1
4Rowdy Tellez homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
3Jonathan India doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jack Suwinski. Stuart Fairchild scores.1–1
2Jack Suwinski singles on a line drive to center fielder Stuart Fairchild. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Connor Joe to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














