Tigers at Reds
Last play · Santiago Espinal grounds out to first baseman Gio Urshela.
Win probability
Reds0%
DET 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 4 – 1 CIN
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Reds favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Parker Meadows homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 3) — -18% Tigers
9Nick Martini triples (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez, deflected by first baseman Gio Urshela. Spencer Steer scores.5–4
9Spencer Steer singles on a line drive to shortstop Ryan Kreidler, deflected by third baseman Matt Vierling. Elly De La Cruz scores.5–3
7Riley Greene homers (17) on a fly ball to right field.5–2
6Jeimer Candelario singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ryan Kreidler. Jonathan India scores. Elly De La Cruz to 3rd. Throwing error by shortstop Ryan Kreidler.4–2
5Spencer Steer homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.4–1
5Colt Keith homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Matt Vierling scores.4–0
3Colt Keith homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.2–0
3Parker Meadows homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














