Tigers at Reds
Last play · Noelvi Marte grounds out, third baseman Gio Urshela to first baseman Mark Canha.
Win probability
Reds0%
DET 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 0 CIN
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Reds favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zach McKinstry homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Gio Urshela scores. (inning 8) — -21% Tigers
8Parker Meadows singles on a ground ball to center fielder Blake Dunn. Jake Rogers scores.5–1
8Zach McKinstry homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Gio Urshela scores.4–1
7Noelvi Marte grounds out, shortstop Zach McKinstry to first baseman Mark Canha. Jeimer Candelario scores.2–1
7Colt Keith singles on a fly ball to center fielder Blake Dunn. Jake Rogers scores. Matt Vierling to 3rd.2–0
4Zach McKinstry singles on a line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Wenceel Pérez scores. Gio Urshela to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














