Rockies at Reds
Last play · Elly De La Cruz grounds out, shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to first baseman Michael Toglia.
Win probability
Reds0%
COL 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 4 – 1 CIN
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Reds favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sam Hilliard homers (1) on a line drive to right field. Nolan Jones scores. (inning 3) — -26% Rockies
9Jonathan India out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jake Cave. Noelvi Marte scores.6–5
9Santiago Espinal singles on a ground ball to center fielder Sam Hilliard. Austin Wynns scores. Noelvi Marte to 3rd. Santiago Espinal to 2nd.6–4
9Tyler Stephenson homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.6–3
8Brenton Doyle singles on a ground ball to left fielder Spencer Steer. Ryan McMahon scores. Elias Díaz to 2nd.6–2
7Rece Hinds singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Cave, deflected by second baseman Brendan Rodgers. Noelvi Marte scores.5–2
6Jake Cave doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Rece Hinds. Brenton Doyle scores.5–1
5Sam Hilliard homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.4–1
3Jonathan India homers (7) on a line drive to center field.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














