Rockies at Reds
Last play · Jacob Stallings grounds into a double play, third baseman Noelvi Marte to second baseman Jonathan India to first baseman Jeimer Candelario. Brenton Doyle out at 2nd. Jacob Stallings out at 1st.
Win probability
Reds100%
COL 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 4 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -195
Reds favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler Stephenson homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Jonathan India scores. Spencer Steer scores. (inning 3) — +27% Reds
7Tyler Stephenson homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Jeimer Candelario scores.1–8
7Reds challenged (fan interference), call on the field was upheld: Jeimer Candelario doubles (19) on a line drive to right fielder Hunter Goodman. Jonathan India scores. Spencer Steer scores.1–6
5Michael Toglia homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.1–4
4Santiago Espinal homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.0–4
3Tyler Stephenson homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Jonathan India scores. Spencer Steer scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














