Marlins at Reds
Last play · Bryan De La Cruz strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds100%
MIA 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 5 – 7 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Reds favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Burger singles on a line drive to center fielder Will Benson. Jonah Bride scores. Bryan De La Cruz scores. (inning 4) — -26% Marlins
6Santiago Espinal homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.6–10
6Rece Hinds homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Jake Fraley scores.6–9
6Josh Bell doubles (17) on a line drive to right fielder Rece Hinds. Jake Burger scores.6–7
4Santiago Espinal singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. , deflected by second baseman Jonah Bride. Rece Hinds scores.5–7
4Will Benson grounds out, shortstop Xavier Edwards to first baseman Jake Burger. Tyler Stephenson scores. Noelvi Marte to 3rd. Rece Hinds to 2nd.5–5
4Jake Burger singles on a line drive to center fielder Will Benson. Jonah Bride scores. Bryan De La Cruz scores.5–4
3Jeimer Candelario homers (16) on a fly ball to right field.3–4
3Elly De La Cruz homers (16) on a fly ball to center field.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














