Marlins at Reds
Last play · Xavier Edwards grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Spencer Steer.
Win probability
Reds100%
MIA 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 3 – 7 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Reds favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rece Hinds hits a grand slam (3) to center field. Jeimer Candelario scores. Spencer Steer scores. Noelvi Marte scores. (inning 3) — +14% Reds
9Ali Sánchez singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jake Fraley. Nick Gordon scores.4–7
4Jesús Sánchez homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Xavier Edwards scores. Bryan De La Cruz scores.3–7
3Rece Hinds hits a grand slam (3) to center field. Jeimer Candelario scores. Spencer Steer scores. Noelvi Marte scores.0–7
2Will Benson doubles (15) on a line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Rece Hinds scores.0–3
1Jeimer Candelario homers (15) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
1Jonathan India homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














