Cubs at Reds
Last play · Mike Tauchman flies out to right fielder Jake Fraley.
Win probability
Reds100%
CHC 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 0 – 6 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Reds favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Will Benson homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Jake Fraley scores. (inning 2) — +20% Reds
9Michael Busch homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.1–7
8Jeimer Candelario homers (17) on a fly ball to right field.0–7
5TJ Friedl homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Santiago Espinal scores. Jonathan India scores.0–6
3Jeimer Candelario grounds out, first baseman Michael Busch to pitcher Jameson Taillon.0–3
2Will Benson homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Jake Fraley scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














