Cubs at Reds
Last play · Seiya Suzuki flies out to left fielder Spencer Steer.
Win probability
Reds100%
CHC 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 0 – 5 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Reds favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · TJ Friedl singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Jonathan India scores. Tyler Stephenson scores. Jeimer Candelario to 2nd. (inning 1) — +17% Reds
8Spencer Steer doubles (26) on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Will Benson scores.3–6
7Isaac Paredes lines out to shortstop Elly De La Cruz.3–5
6Cody Bellinger homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Seiya Suzuki scores.2–5
2Tyler Stephenson singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Jonathan India scores.0–5
2Santiago Espinal homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Noelvi Marte scores.0–4
1TJ Friedl singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Jonathan India scores. Tyler Stephenson scores. Jeimer Candelario to 2nd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
