Cardinals at Reds
Last play · Lars Nootbaar flies out to left fielder Will Benson.
Win probability
Reds100%
STL 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 6 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Reds favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Steer homers (17) on a fly ball to left field. Jake Fraley scores. (inning 3) — +25% Reds
5Spencer Steer homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field. Jake Fraley scores. Will Benson scores.1–6
3Elly De La Cruz homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field.1–3
3Spencer Steer homers (17) on a fly ball to left field. Jake Fraley scores.1–2
3Nolan Arenado singles on a ground ball to left fielder Will Benson. Willson Contreras scores. Tommy Pham to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
