Giants at Reds
Last play · Mike Yastrzemski pops out to shortstop Elly De La Cruz.
Win probability
Reds100%
SF 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 0 – 6 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Reds favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler Stephenson homers (13) on a fly ball to center field. Spencer Steer scores. Ty France scores. (inning 4) — +13% Reds
9Matt Chapman homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.4–6
8Jerar Encarnacion homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.3–6
7Michael Conforto homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.2–6
7Matt Chapman doubles (29) on a sharp line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Matt Chapman scores. Fielding error by center fielder TJ Friedl. Throwing error by shortstop Elly De La Cruz.1–6
4Stuart Fairchild homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.0–6
4Tyler Stephenson homers (13) on a fly ball to center field. Spencer Steer scores. Ty France scores.0–5
3Jonathan India homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.0–2
2Tyler Stephenson homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
