Giants at Reds
Last play · Santiago Espinal flies out to left fielder Michael Conforto.
Win probability
Reds0%
SF 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 2 – 2 CIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Reds favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Chapman homers (17) on a fly ball to center field. Tyler Fitzgerald scores. (inning 4) — -25% Giants
8Jerar Encarnacion doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Michael Conforto scores.8–2
8Michael Conforto doubles (20) on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Patrick Bailey scores. Matt Chapman scores.7–2
8Tyler Fitzgerald homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. LaMonte Wade Jr. scores.5–2
6LaMonte Wade Jr. homers (4) on a line drive to right center field.3–2
4Matt Chapman homers (17) on a fly ball to center field. Tyler Fitzgerald scores.2–2
2Santiago Espinal homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.0–2
2Jeimer Candelario homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
