Giants at Reds
Last play · Elly De La Cruz lines out to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski.
Win probability
Reds0%
SF 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 2 – 0 CIN
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Reds favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Casey Schmitt homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 2) — -15% Giants
7Tyler Fitzgerald homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.3–0
2Tyler Fitzgerald doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Marco Luciano scores.2–0
2Casey Schmitt homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
