Cubs at Reds
Last play · Santiago Espinal grounds into a force out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to second baseman David Bote. Jake Fraley out at 2nd.
Win probability
Reds0%
CHC 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 6 – 3 CIN
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Reds favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nico Hoerner doubles (22) on a fly ball to left fielder Will Benson. Cody Bellinger scores. (inning 2) — -15% Cubs
8Will Benson doubles (17) on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Santiago Espinal scores.13–4
8Cody Bellinger singles on a ground ball to center fielder Will Benson. Ian Happ scores. Isaac Paredes scores.13–3
7Pete Crow-Armstrong doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Will Benson. Nico Hoerner scores. Christian Bethancourt scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Will Benson to shortstop Elly De La Cruz to third baseman Santiago Espinal.11–3
6Seiya Suzuki doubles (18) on a line drive to left fielder Will Benson. Isaac Paredes scores.9–3
6Ian Happ homers (17) on a fly ball to center field. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.8–3
5Jake Fraley homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Tyler Stephenson scores. Jeimer Candelario scores.6–3
3Patrick Wisdom doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Will Benson. Seiya Suzuki scores. Cody Bellinger scores. Patrick Wisdom out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Will Benson to shortstop Elly De La Cruz to catcher Tyler Stephenson to third baseman Santiago Espinal.6–0
3Seiya Suzuki doubles (17) on a ground ball to left fielder Will Benson. Ian Happ scores. Isaac Paredes scores.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
