Cardinals at Reds
Last play · Masyn Winn lines out to second baseman Jonathan India.
Win probability
Reds100%
STL 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 7 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Reds favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonathan India homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Will Benson scores. Noelvi Marte scores. (inning 3) — +27% Reds
8Elly De La Cruz doubles (28) on a ground ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Noelvi Marte scores.2–9
7TJ Friedl homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.2–8
6Nolan Arenado singles on a ground ball to left fielder Will Benson. Alec Burleson scores. Willson Contreras to 2nd.2–7
6Alec Burleson singles on a ground ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Masyn Winn scores.1–7
5Jake Fraley singles on a ground ball to second baseman Brendan Donovan. Spencer Steer scores. Jeimer Candelario to 2nd.0–7
5TJ Friedl homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.0–6
5Jonathan India homers (11) on a line drive to center field.0–5
3Tyler Stephenson homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
